January 1st, 2012
PRO FOOTBALL — January 1
SAN FRANCISCO at ST. LOUIS
(Online NFL Betting Odds: Niners -10.5, Total 45.5) — When you’ve got nothing, you’ve got nothing left, and that is the position the Rams find themselves in. Over the last eight games, they have averaged a shade under ten points a game. So much for any gravitas Josh McDaniels may have had for being an offensive “guru.” And Steve Spagnuolo’s head might be on the chopping block after this embarrassment of a season.
Kellen Clemens isn’t getting the ball down the field any farther than Sam Bradford or AJ Feeley before him, and maybe there is some incentive to go after that #1 draft pick after all. A patchwork offensive line that has allowed 52 sacks won’t make things easy for Clemens against Alden Smith (14 sacks) and the aggressive Niner defense that has yielded less than 14 points a game.
There is still a possible first-round bye for Frisco to play for; the Rams’ DL (4.9 ypc allowed) invites the kind of ball-control running game the Niners employ, and in the previous meeting between these teams, St. Louis was held to ten first downs and 157 total yards.
JAY’S PLAY: SAN FRANCISCO -10.5 **
(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)
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December 24th, 2011
PRO FOOTBALL — December 24
JACKSONVILLE at TENNESSEE
(Online NFL Betting Odds: Titans -8.5, Total 38.5) — Everyone seems to be keying on a complete drop by the Jags, who have quit twice in three games for interim coach Mel Tucker, with the win coming after a slew of turnovers from Tampa Bay, which was on a worse slide. how much time will Jake Locker get for the Titans? We don’t know, although Matt Hasselbeck is once again hurting.
What can be done about Chris Johnson? The Tennessee back, who had been dominant in a few games, has gone back to being non-productive, with 41 rushing yards the last two weeks. Locker may be a better alternative to Blaine Gabbert, who clearly was pushed into a starting role too soon. He’s got a similar problem to Houston’s TJ Yates, in that he doesn’t stretch the field at all. That assignment goes to Maurice Jones-Drew, who has 1334 yards, which is almost miraculous, considering the lack of complementary weapons, who may find room against a defense yielding 4.4 yards a carry.
JAY’S PLAY: JACKSONVILLE +8.5 *
(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)
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December 18th, 2011
PRO FOOTBALL — December 18
NEW ORLEANS at MINNESOTA
(Online NFL Betting Odds: Saints -8, Total 53) — At this point, it becomes a matter of the Saints jockeying for playoff seeding, which is important since they do so well at home. For the Vikes, the running back and quarterback situation carry some questions with them. Adrian Peterson is slated to get the start, but we don’t know how much that really means, since they were able to concentrate on stopping Chris Johnson last week and did so, limiting him to 23 yards on eleven carries. And we don’t really know how much action he’s going to see. Christina Ponder is going to get the start again, despite his being benched last time out, after which Joe Webb rallied the team to a couple of touchdowns. If you’ve been a quarterback playing against Minnesota this season, you’ve thrown 26 touchdowns with only six interceptions. maybe Jared Allen can get enough pressure on Drew Brees to make things interesting. Remember that Brees is not the same quarterback on the road than he is at home (12 TD’s, 8 INT’s) and that the Vikings aren’t often blown out (only three of 11 losses by double digits).
JAY’S PLAY: MINNESOTA +8 **
(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)
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December 11th, 2011
PRO FOOTBALL — December 11
KANSAS CITY at N.Y. JETS
(Online NFL Betting Odds: Jets -10.5, Total 36.5) — The Chiefs are playing spirited football on the defensive end, and we wonder whether the Jets, who have had a fragmented rushing attack, can wear down K.C. enough to lay this heavy a number. Mark Sanchez may be able to challenge the back end of the Kansas City secondary, but he also commits mistakes in that process. Tyler Palko finally got the Chiefs into the end zone, but with a Hail Mary pass, and Kyle Orton banged up his index finger on his very first play from scrimmage.
Will the “Hail Mary” offense work? Well, KC had better try and work the running game, with Jackie Battle (4.1 ypc) and Dexter McCluster (4.7 ypc). However, the Jets, who have mounted fourth quarter comebacks in each of the last two weeks, have scored eight TD’s in those games, and Kansas City is just going to have a hard time keeping pace.
JAY’S PLAY: N.Y. JETS -10.5 *
(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)
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December 4th, 2011
PRO FOOTBALL — December 4
CINCINNATI at PITTSBURGH
(Online NFL Betting Odds: Steelers -7, Total 43) — The Bengals had an opportunity to fold up against their other two rivals in the AFC North, the Steelers and Ravens, and while they have not won those games, they have been in them all the way. They have managed to do it by moving the ball on the ground and doing a relatively good job in stopping the run. In fact, Cincinnati has held opponents to 3.5 yards a carry, which is important because Ben Roethlisberger’s thumb affected him last week against Kansas City, when he threw for 193 yards on 31 attempts. And I think it’s worth mentioning that Rashard Mendenhall has not been bowling over the opponent’s defensive line (153 yards on 46 attempts the last three games). Some of this may upset the Steelers’ 49% success rate on third down.
Troy Polamalu’s “concussion-like symptoms” are a concern, though he’s likely playing. There isn’t anything so mysterious about Cincinnati’s offense, although the Pittsburgh pass rush is going to be challenged in getting to rookie Andy Dalton, who kept a clean jersey the first time these teams met. The Bengals can hang here.
JAY’S PLAY: CINCINNATI +7 **
(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)
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